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Morning opening: Changed priorities ahead
Jakub Krupa
Good morning from Poland, where the top two candidates in last night’s presidential elections – centrist Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski and radical-right historian Karol Nawrocki – wasted no time this morning before hitting the campaign trail again ahead of the run-off in two weeks’ time.
The final results, published this morning, put Trzaskowski marginally ahead at 31.36%, with Nawrocki at 29.54%.
With both of them now having to broaden their appeal to get to 50%+1 on 1 June, we will inevitably some changing priorities in their campaigns.
There is plenty of votes to be won, but what makes it unusually tricky is that they could come from a very diverse – even diametrically opposed - group of candidates.
Devising an electoral strategy to get votes off Sławomir Mentzen, the libertarian anti-establishment candidate, who came third at 14.8% and radical right Grzegorz Braun (6.34%), while also securing the support of left-of-centre voters who backed Adrian Zandberg (4.86%) and Magdalena Biejat (4.23%) or centrist supporters of Szymon Hołownia (4.99%) could prove to be quite a challenge.
As Dr Ben Stanley told our Super Sunday blog last night, “candidate electorates are not Lego blocks” as he warned “those who are stacking them to project second round results are overlooking substantial heterogeneity.”
I will also bring you some European reactions to the votes in Romania and Portugal, and all other key updates from across Europe.
It’s Monday, 19 May 2025, it’s Jakub Krupa here, and this is Europe Live.
Good morning.
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EU-UK deal expected today at first post-Brexit summit
Another big European story today is the EU-UK summit in London, starting in late morning, which is expected to pave the way for a post-Brexit reset between the two parties, including a new deal on a number of contentious issues.
The talks were taking place over the weekend ahead of a key summit in London hosted by Keir Starmer with EU leaders on Monday, which is aimed at resetting the UK’s relationship with the bloc five years after Brexit.
My political colleagues Peter Walker, Jessica Elgot and Lisa O’Carroll report that under the agreement, finalised just a few hours before a crunch summit in London, Brussels is understood to have dropped demands to link the duration of an agreement over food and agricultural goods with fishing rights.
According to EU sources, access to British fishing waters will be granted until the end of June 2038, an extension of 12 years. In return, the agreement on easier checks for food, animal and other agricultural products, known as sanitary and phytosanitary goods (SPS), is indefinite.
One element that is not expected to be finalised on Monday is the shape of any mutual youth mobility scheme, with arguments continuing about the UK’s insistence that the numbers coming in should be capped, which the EU opposes.
My colleague Andrew Sparrow is running the UK politics blog and will have all the key updates throughout the day here:
All votes counted in Poland
So, here are the official results in Poland after all votes were counted, with the top two candidates in bold going through to the run-off on 1 June.
Rafał Trzaskowski 31.36%
Karol Nawrocki 29.54%
Sławomir Mentzen 14.8%
Grzegorz Braun 6.34%
Szymon Hołownia 4.99%
Adrian Zandberg 4.86%
Magdalena Biejat 4.23%
Krzysztof Stanowski 1.24%
Joanna Senyszyn 1.09%
Marek Jakubiak 0.77%
Artur Bartoszewicz 0.49%
Maciej Maciak 0.19%
Marek Woch 0.09%
Morning opening: Changed priorities ahead
Jakub Krupa
Good morning from Poland, where the top two candidates in last night’s presidential elections – centrist Warsaw mayor Rafał Trzaskowski and radical-right historian Karol Nawrocki – wasted no time this morning before hitting the campaign trail again ahead of the run-off in two weeks’ time.
The final results, published this morning, put Trzaskowski marginally ahead at 31.36%, with Nawrocki at 29.54%.
With both of them now having to broaden their appeal to get to 50%+1 on 1 June, we will inevitably some changing priorities in their campaigns.
There is plenty of votes to be won, but what makes it unusually tricky is that they could come from a very diverse – even diametrically opposed - group of candidates.
Devising an electoral strategy to get votes off Sławomir Mentzen, the libertarian anti-establishment candidate, who came third at 14.8% and radical right Grzegorz Braun (6.34%), while also securing the support of left-of-centre voters who backed Adrian Zandberg (4.86%) and Magdalena Biejat (4.23%) or centrist supporters of Szymon Hołownia (4.99%) could prove to be quite a challenge.
As Dr Ben Stanley told our Super Sunday blog last night, “candidate electorates are not Lego blocks” as he warned “those who are stacking them to project second round results are overlooking substantial heterogeneity.”
I will also bring you some European reactions to the votes in Romania and Portugal, and all other key updates from across Europe.
It’s Monday, 19 May 2025, it’s Jakub Krupa here, and this is Europe Live.
Good morning.
