German election opinion polls – who’s leading for 2025
1 month ago
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The German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, has announced fresh elections to the Bundestag for February 2025, after the collapse of his SPD-led coalition. Find out which parties are polling best today
Germany is preparing for a general election to the Bundestag, the lower house of its parliament, on 23 February, after its “traffic-light” coalition of social democrats, liberals and greens collapsed. The country’s electoral system is highly proportional, so polls give a good indication of what shape of government might be possible after the election.
Latest German opinion polls
14-day rolling average %
CDU/CSU
SPD
Grüne
FDP
AfD
Source: Guardian moving average of recent poll data from wahlrecht.de, last updated
Who’s who? Party profiles
The outgoing Bundestag
It’s clear from the makeup of the current chamber that Scholz’s government could not survive without the FDP, but would also struggle to form any new coalition that did not include the conservative CDU/CSU. For their part, Friedrich Merz’s party currently have more to gain from new elections than from propping up the chancellor.